Tory management race stay: MPs to vote once more with Sunak near securing place on ultimate poll | Politics

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It was a New Labour special adviser that coined the phrase about “a good day to bury bad news”. Today would sort of qualify – the hottest day ever, public sector pay awards being published, the Tory leadership contest at a key stage – and Labour has confirmed that today it might publish a report that is likely to be horribly embarrassing to the party.

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A Labour spokesperson said:

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Labour’s general secretary, David Evans, has now received the Forde report and he will be taking it to today’s national executive committee meeting with a clear recommendation that the NEC agree the publication of the report as soon as possible today.

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The report, Martin Forde QC, was commissioned after the leak of an internal Labour report in 2020 purpotedly showed evidence of party staff being guilty of bullying, racism and sexism. The leak, which seemed to be a hostile act aimed at opponents of Jeremy Corbyn (who came out worst from the revelations), led to the party being sued for defamation and breach of privacy.

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My colleague Jessica Elgot has a guide to the background of the Forde report here.

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Tobias Ellwood has said that travel disruption meant he could not return from Moldova yesterday in time for the Commons confidence vote. (See 10.08am.) He said he was “very sorry” to have the whip withdrawn, but that he would continue with his tour, where he will be having meetings about reopening Odesa port. He said:

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Following my meeting yesterday with the president of Moldova I was unable to secure return travel due to unprecedented disruption both here and in the UK.

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I am very sorry to lose the whip but will now continue my meetings in Ukraine promoting the prime minister’s efforts here and specifically seeking to secure the reopening of Odesa port – so vital grain exports can recommence.

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Although MPs can have the whip removed for failing to obey a three-line whip, it is unusual for this sanction to be deployed against an MP who only misses a vote, and does not vote against the party, and has a reasonable excuse for being away. It is even more unusual for this to happen in relation to a vote which the party was at no risk of losing. Boris Johnson has a majority of 111 in the vote last night.

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But Ellwood has been one of Johnson’s most vocal backbench critics and Johnson is vengeful. He once said his favourite movie scene was the end of the Godfather with its “multiple retribution killings”. His decision to sack Michael Gove as levelling up secretary two weeks ago seemed to be motivated purely by score settling.

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The loss of the whip would be serious for Ellwood if it meant he could not stand as a Conservative candidate at the next election. But the whip is likely to be restored by the next Tory leader well before any election takes place.

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However, the move will stop Ellwood voting in the leadership contest today and tomorrow, and this could help Liz Truss get onto the final ballot against Rishi Sunak. Johnson blames Sunak for undermining him, and although he has not backed Truss in public, his allies are actively working to get her elected.

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Boris Johnson is chairing what may be the final meeting of his cabinet and – as has become his usual practice in recent weeks – he invited in a TV camera to record his opening remarks.

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Johnson claimed the heatwave vindicated the government’s decision to push for net zero carbon emissions by 2050. He told his ministers:

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Who can doubt that we were right to be the first major economy to go for net zero? It may be sometimes unfashionable to say this but it is the right thing to do.

n

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In fact, the legislation making 2050 a legally binding target was passed into law in the final days of Theresa May’s government, but Johnson has retained the commitment to net zero. As my colleague Fiona Harvey argues in today’s First Edition briefing, Johnson is more committed to net zero than any of the candidates who might succeed him. “Nobody else in the higher echelons of the Conservative party gives a stuff,” Fiona says. “He was the only champion green Tories had.”

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Addressing cabinet, Johnson also suggested the experience coming out of lockdown showed why the heatwave should not be allowed to stop people working. He said:

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n

On another scorching, sweltering day I think it’s very, very important that we think back to that moment that we opened up [after the lockdown] and take a look at and steadiness threat with the necessity to hold our nation, our society and our economic system shifting.

n

I hope, cupboard, that you simply are all agreed that so far as potential we should always hold colleges open and hold our transport system going so far as we probably can.

n

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Liz Truss, the foreign secretary, has used an interview with the Times to declare that she would raise defence spending to 3% of GDP by 2030. She said:

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n

We live in an increasingly dangerous world where the threat level is higher than a decade ago, and we need a stronger deterrent to face down those threats and ensure Britain leads on the global stage. Ultimately that requires more resources. My number one priority is keeping this country safe and people can trust me to do that.

n

Britain and the free world face a defining moment. We need a prime minister capable of leading internationally, who can also drive the economic growth we need here at home. I am the candidate best placed to do that.

n

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In a briefing about the announcement, the Truss campaign said defence spending needed to go up because of the increased threat from China and Russia. This message may appeal to some of the 31 supporters of Tom Tugendhat whose votes are up for grabs today. Tugendhat, chair of the Commons foreign affairs committee, has consistently argued that the UK has not taken the threat from China and Russia seriously enough.

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Tobias Ellwood, the chair of the Commons defence committee, has had the Tory whip removed because he did not vote for the government in the confidence debate last night, the Times’ Henry Zeffman reports. Ellwood, who was one of the Tories most critical of Boris Johnson, did not have permission to be away.

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As Steven Swinford reports, the decision means Ellwood will not be able to vote in parliamentary leadership ballot until the whip is restored. He is a Penny Mordaunt supporter, and in a very tight race, a single vote could potentially make a difference.

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Kemi Badenoch can also claim to be the change candidate in another, less positive, sense. Yesterday she told a Tory climate fringe that she backed the government’s target of reaching net zero emissions by 2050. She was the last candidate to make that commitment.

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But later in the day she had an apparent change of heart and told Talk TV that her commitment to the 2050 date was not absolute. Asked if she would ever consider changing the 2050 deadline, she replied:

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n

Yes, there are circumstances where I would delay it, but I think that the target itself is a bit of a red herring.

n

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The full interview is here.

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In a post on Twitter after last night’s results were declared Kemi Badenoch claimed that Tom Tugendhat’s departure from the race meant she was the only “change candidate” left in the race.

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Penny Mordaunt would probably contest that. Badenoch, the former equalities minister, is the only candidate still in the race who has not served in cabinet. But as equalities minister she pursued an “anti-woke” agenda popular with No 10.

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Mordaunt, the international trade minister, never resigned from Boris Johnson’s government (unlike Badenoch). But she has never identified as an enthusiastic supporter of Johnsonism.

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Good morning. A week after nominations closed, and after three ballots, some of the fog around who will be our next prime minister has lifted and at least three propositions now seem reasonably well founded.

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    n

  • Rishi Sunak, the former chancellor, is now all but certain to be one of the two candidates on the final ballot for Conservative party members. He is now on 115 votes and once a candidate gets 120 (just over a third of the total), it is mathematically impossible for two other candidates to get more votes. Sunak is also particularly well placed to pick up many of the 31 Tom Tugendhat votes now up for grab; Sunak, like Tugendhat, presents as a mainstream pragmatist, not an ideological rightwinger.
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    n

  • Liz Truss and Penny Mordaunt are now the two strongest candidates in the contest to be the second person on the final ballot. One recent survey suggested both would beat Sunak in the final poll, but Truss more comfortably than Mordaunt. Almost certainly, Sunak’s chances would be better against Mordaunt; her lack of experience means the risk of her campaign imploding under scrutiny remains high (over the last week her popularity has already fallen significantly), and Truss, unlike Mordaunt, would be guaranteed the support of the Tory right en masse.
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    n

  • Kemi Badenoch looks likely to be eliminated this afternoon. It is not inevitable – she has defied expectations already – but she remains 13 votes behind Truss, and may struggle to get much of the Tugendhat vote. If she does fall out, her votes will be for grabs tomorrow – and would decide whether Sunak faces Truss or Mordaunt, which could in turn determine who gets elected as the next PM.
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Here is the agenda for the day.

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9.30am: Boris Johnson chairs what might be the last meeting of his cabinet.

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10.30am: Officials from the CBI and the TUC are among the experts giving evidence to the Commons business committee on post-pandemic economic growth.

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12pm: Voting starts in the fourth ballot for the Conservative party leadership. The ballot closes at 2pm.

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12.30pm: Michael Gove, the former levelling up secretary, and Lord Frost, the former Brexit minister, take part in a discussion on the future of Conservatism at the Policy Exchange thinktank.

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3pm: Sir Graham Brady, chair of the 1922 Committee, announces the results of the latest leadership ballot.

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Afternoon: Pay awards for around 2.5 million public sector workers, including NHS staff and teachers, are due to be announced.

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I try to monitor the comments below the line (BTL) but it is impossible to read them all. If you have a direct question, do include “Andrew” in it somewhere and I’m more likely to find it. I do try to answer questions, and if they are of general interest, I will post the question and reply above the line (ATL), although I can’t promise to do this for everyone.

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If you want to attract my attention quickly, it is probably better to use Twitter. I’m on @AndrewSparrow.

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Alternatively, you can email me at andrew.sparrow@theguardian.com

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Key occasions:

It was a New Labour special adviser that coined the phrase about “a good day to bury bad news”. Today would sort of qualify – the hottest day ever, public sector pay awards being published, the Tory leadership contest at a key stage – and Labour has confirmed that today it might publish a report that is likely to be horribly embarrassing to the party.

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A Labour spokesperson said:

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n

Labour’s general secretary, David Evans, has now received the Forde report and he will be taking it to today’s national executive committee meeting with a clear recommendation that the NEC agree the publication of the report as soon as possible today.

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The report, Martin Forde QC, was commissioned after the leak of an internal Labour report in 2020 purpotedly showed evidence of party staff being guilty of bullying, racism and sexism. The leak, which seemed to be a hostile act aimed at opponents of Jeremy Corbyn (who came out worst from the revelations), led to the party being sued for defamation and breach of privacy.

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My colleague Jessica Elgot has a guide to the background of the Forde report here.

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Tobias Ellwood has said that travel disruption meant he could not return from Moldova yesterday in time for the Commons confidence vote. (See 10.08am.) He said he was “very sorry” to have the whip withdrawn, but that he would continue with his tour, where he will be having meetings about reopening Odesa port. He said:

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n

Following my meeting yesterday with the president of Moldova I was unable to secure return travel due to unprecedented disruption both here and in the UK.

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I am very sorry to lose the whip but will now continue my meetings in Ukraine promoting the prime minister’s efforts here and specifically seeking to secure the reopening of Odesa port – so vital grain exports can recommence.

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Although MPs can have the whip removed for failing to obey a three-line whip, it is unusual for this sanction to be deployed against an MP who only misses a vote, and does not vote against the party, and has a reasonable excuse for being away. It is even more unusual for this to happen in relation to a vote which the party was at no risk of losing. Boris Johnson has a majority of 111 in the vote last night.

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But Ellwood has been one of Johnson’s most vocal backbench critics and Johnson is vengeful. He once said his favourite movie scene was the end of the Godfather with its “multiple retribution killings”. His decision to sack Michael Gove as levelling up secretary two weeks ago seemed to be motivated purely by score settling.

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The loss of the whip would be serious for Ellwood if it meant he could not stand as a Conservative candidate at the next election. But the whip is likely to be restored by the next Tory leader well before any election takes place.

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However, the move will stop Ellwood voting in the leadership contest today and tomorrow, and this could help Liz Truss get onto the final ballot against Rishi Sunak. Johnson blames Sunak for undermining him, and although he has not backed Truss in public, his allies are actively working to get her elected.

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defends lacking confidence vote, saying he’s overseas selling Johnson’s Ukraine coverage”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Tue 19 Jul 2022 11.21 BST”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First revealed on Tue 19 Jul 2022 09.51 BST”},{“id”:”62d675818f082dc50bc2b530″,”parts”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

Boris Johnson is chairing what may be the final meeting of his cabinet and – as has become his usual practice in recent weeks – he invited in a TV camera to record his opening remarks.

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Johnson claimed the heatwave vindicated the government’s decision to push for net zero carbon emissions by 2050. He told his ministers:

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n

Who can doubt that we were right to be the first major economy to go for net zero? It may be sometimes unfashionable to say this but it is the right thing to do.

n

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In fact, the legislation making 2050 a legally binding target was passed into law in the final days of Theresa May’s government, but Johnson has retained the commitment to net zero. As my colleague Fiona Harvey argues in today’s First Edition briefing, Johnson is more committed to net zero than any of the candidates who might succeed him. “Nobody else in the higher echelons of the Conservative party gives a stuff,” Fiona says. “He was the only champion green Tories had.”

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Addressing cabinet, Johnson also suggested the experience coming out of lockdown showed why the heatwave should not be allowed to stop people working. He said:

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n

On another scorching, sweltering day I think it’s very, very important that we think back to that moment that we opened up [after the lockdown] and take a look at and steadiness threat with the necessity to hold our nation, our society and our economic system shifting.

n

I hope, cupboard, that you simply are all agreed that so far as potential we should always hold colleges open and hold our transport system going so far as we probably can.

n

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Liz Truss, the foreign secretary, has used an interview with the Times to declare that she would raise defence spending to 3% of GDP by 2030. She said:

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n

We live in an increasingly dangerous world where the threat level is higher than a decade ago, and we need a stronger deterrent to face down those threats and ensure Britain leads on the global stage. Ultimately that requires more resources. My number one priority is keeping this country safe and people can trust me to do that.

n

Britain and the free world face a defining moment. We need a prime minister capable of leading internationally, who can also drive the economic growth we need here at home. I am the candidate best placed to do that.

n

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In a briefing about the announcement, the Truss campaign said defence spending needed to go up because of the increased threat from China and Russia. This message may appeal to some of the 31 supporters of Tom Tugendhat whose votes are up for grabs today. Tugendhat, chair of the Commons foreign affairs committee, has consistently argued that the UK has not taken the threat from China and Russia seriously enough.

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Tobias Ellwood, the chair of the Commons defence committee, has had the Tory whip removed because he did not vote for the government in the confidence debate last night, the Times’ Henry Zeffman reports. Ellwood, who was one of the Tories most critical of Boris Johnson, did not have permission to be away.

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As Steven Swinford reports, the decision means Ellwood will not be able to vote in parliamentary leadership ballot until the whip is restored. He is a Penny Mordaunt supporter, and in a very tight race, a single vote could potentially make a difference.

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Kemi Badenoch can also claim to be the change candidate in another, less positive, sense. Yesterday she told a Tory climate fringe that she backed the government’s target of reaching net zero emissions by 2050. She was the last candidate to make that commitment.

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But later in the day she had an apparent change of heart and told Talk TV that her commitment to the 2050 date was not absolute. Asked if she would ever consider changing the 2050 deadline, she replied:

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n

Yes, there are circumstances where I would delay it, but I think that the target itself is a bit of a red herring.

n

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The full interview is here.

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In a post on Twitter after last night’s results were declared Kemi Badenoch claimed that Tom Tugendhat’s departure from the race meant she was the only “change candidate” left in the race.

“,”elementId”:”b02573f4-8f68-474d-a259-de3831214d42″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TweetBlockElement”,”html”:”

n”,”url”:”https://twitter.com/KemiBadenoch/status/1549117159615381505″,”id”:”1549117159615381505″,”hasMedia”:false,”role”:”inline”,”isThirdPartyTracking”:false,”source”:”Twitter”,”elementId”:”2180ba2c-cf5a-4d7b-90b6-2f3a239c12cc”},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

Penny Mordaunt would probably contest that. Badenoch, the former equalities minister, is the only candidate still in the race who has not served in cabinet. But as equalities minister she pursued an “anti-woke” agenda popular with No 10.

“,”elementId”:”72b2d5c4-203a-47e3-82d3-f01b0cb236d9″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

Mordaunt, the international trade minister, never resigned from Boris Johnson’s government (unlike Badenoch). But she has never identified as an enthusiastic supporter of Johnsonism.

“,”elementId”:”6abe2150-76fc-4348-aaae-087c99bb1721″}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”abstract”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1658220710000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”09.51 BST”,”blockLastUpdated”:1658220778000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”09.52 BST”,”blockFirstPublished”:1658220779000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”09.52 BST”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”09.52″,”title”:”Badenoch claims she is simply ‘change candidate’ left in Tory management contest”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Tue 19 Jul 2022 11.21 BST”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First revealed on Tue 19 Jul 2022 09.51 BST”},{“id”:”62d65b868f082dc50bc2b477″,”parts”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

Good morning. A week after nominations closed, and after three ballots, some of the fog around who will be our next prime minister has lifted and at least three propositions now seem reasonably well founded.

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    n

  • Rishi Sunak, the former chancellor, is now all but certain to be one of the two candidates on the final ballot for Conservative party members. He is now on 115 votes and once a candidate gets 120 (just over a third of the total), it is mathematically impossible for two other candidates to get more votes. Sunak is also particularly well placed to pick up many of the 31 Tom Tugendhat votes now up for grab; Sunak, like Tugendhat, presents as a mainstream pragmatist, not an ideological rightwinger.
  • n

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    n

  • Liz Truss and Penny Mordaunt are now the two strongest candidates in the contest to be the second person on the final ballot. One recent survey suggested both would beat Sunak in the final poll, but Truss more comfortably than Mordaunt. Almost certainly, Sunak’s chances would be better against Mordaunt; her lack of experience means the risk of her campaign imploding under scrutiny remains high (over the last week her popularity has already fallen significantly), and Truss, unlike Mordaunt, would be guaranteed the support of the Tory right en masse.
  • n

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    n

  • Kemi Badenoch looks likely to be eliminated this afternoon. It is not inevitable – she has defied expectations already – but she remains 13 votes behind Truss, and may struggle to get much of the Tugendhat vote. If she does fall out, her votes will be for grabs tomorrow – and would decide whether Sunak faces Truss or Mordaunt, which could in turn determine who gets elected as the next PM.
  • n

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Here is the agenda for the day.

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9.30am: Boris Johnson chairs what might be the last meeting of his cabinet.

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10.30am: Officials from the CBI and the TUC are among the experts giving evidence to the Commons business committee on post-pandemic economic growth.

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12pm: Voting starts in the fourth ballot for the Conservative party leadership. The ballot closes at 2pm.

“,”elementId”:”769a7b55-0dc6-4333-88c2-7b008eb68902″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

12.30pm: Michael Gove, the former levelling up secretary, and Lord Frost, the former Brexit minister, take part in a discussion on the future of Conservatism at the Policy Exchange thinktank.

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3pm: Sir Graham Brady, chair of the 1922 Committee, announces the results of the latest leadership ballot.

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Afternoon: Pay awards for around 2.5 million public sector workers, including NHS staff and teachers, are due to be announced.

“,”elementId”:”af5c7816-df37-4c77-9efd-0f2408dd69de”},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

I try to monitor the comments below the line (BTL) but it is impossible to read them all. If you have a direct question, do include “Andrew” in it somewhere and I’m more likely to find it. I do try to answer questions, and if they are of general interest, I will post the question and reply above the line (ATL), although I can’t promise to do this for everyone.

“,”elementId”:”9a9b5d86-b5e3-492e-98f6-64c71197cba1″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

If you want to attract my attention quickly, it is probably better to use Twitter. I’m on @AndrewSparrow.

“,”elementId”:”226acdd9-7d94-4eee-b40b-090abb65c497″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

Alternatively, you can email me at andrew.sparrow@theguardian.com

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Filters BETA

Nadine Dorries, the tradition secretary and Boris Johnson loyalist, has dismissed as “ridiculous” claims that Tobias Ellwood has had the Tory whip eliminated to cease him voting in opposition to the Johnson candidate within the management contest. (See 10.08am and 10.45am.)

That is wholly unfaithful and admittedly totally ridiculous. Each MP of each occasion is underneath no phantasm relating to the value to be paid in not voting throughout a Gov confidence movement. It’s a really clearly outlined and historic pink line. Tobias may have voted like everybody else. https://t.co/IXo6ZqHXa6

— Nadine Dorries (@NadineDorries) July 19, 2022

n”,”url”:”https://twitter.com/NadineDorries/standing/1549328344646393858″,”id”:”1549328344646393858″,”hasMedia”:false,”function”:”inline”,”isThirdPartyTracking”:false,”supply”:”Twitter”,”elementId”:”de6a028a-6277-4213-94af-68d7f6258fc3″}}”>

That is wholly unfaithful and admittedly totally ridiculous. Each MP of each occasion is underneath no phantasm relating to the value to be paid in not voting throughout a Gov confidence movement. It’s a really clearly outlined and historic pink line. Tobias may have voted like everybody else. https://t.co/IXo6ZqHXa6

— Nadine Dorries (@NadineDorries) July 19, 2022

Labour says Forde report on claims of racism, sexism and bullying in occasion could possibly be revealed right this moment

It was a New Labour particular adviser that coined the phrase about “a great day to bury unhealthy information”. Immediately would kind of qualify – the most well liked day ever, public sector pay awards being revealed, the Tory management contest at a key stage – and Labour has confirmed that right this moment it may publish a report that’s doubtless to be horribly embarrassing to the occasion.

A Labour spokesperson stated:

Labour’s basic secretary, David Evans, has now acquired the Forde report and he will likely be taking it to right this moment’s nationwide government committee assembly with a transparent advice that the NEC agree the publication of the report as quickly as potential right this moment.

The report, Martin Forde QC, was commissioned after the leak of an inside Labour report in 2020 purpotedly confirmed proof of occasion employees being responsible of bullying, racism and sexism. The leak, which gave the impression to be a hostile act aimed toward opponents of Jeremy Corbyn (who got here out worst from the revelations), led to the occasion being sued for defamation and breach of privateness.

My colleague Jessica Elgot has a information to the background of the Forde report right here.

Ellwood defends lacking confidence vote, saying he’s overseas selling Johnson’s Ukraine coverage

Tobias Ellwood has stated that journey disruption meant he couldn’t return from Moldova yesterday in time for the Commons confidence vote. (See 10.08am.) He stated he was “very sorry” to have the whip withdrawn, however that he would proceed together with his tour, the place he will likely be having conferences about reopening Odesa port. He stated:

Following my assembly yesterday with the president of Moldova I used to be unable to safe return journey on account of unprecedented disruption each right here and within the UK.

I’m very sorry to lose the whip however will now proceed my conferences in Ukraine selling the prime minister’s efforts right here and particularly searching for to safe the reopening of Odesa port – so important grain exports can recommence.

Though MPs can have the whip eliminated for failing to obey a three-line whip, it’s uncommon for this sanction to be deployed in opposition to an MP who solely misses a vote, and doesn’t vote in opposition to the occasion, and has an inexpensive excuse for being away. It’s even more odd for this to occur in relation to a vote which the occasion was at no threat of shedding. Boris Johnson has a majority of 111 within the vote final evening.

However Ellwood has been certainly one of Johnson’s most vocal backbench critics and Johnson is vengeful. He as soon as stated his favorite film scene was the end of the Godfather with its “multiple retribution killings”. His determination to sack Michael Gove as levelling up secretary two weeks in the past gave the impression to be motivated purely by rating settling.

The lack of the whip could be critical for Ellwood if it meant he couldn’t stand as a Conservative candidate at the following election. However the whip is doubtless to be restored by the following Tory chief properly earlier than any election takes place.

Nonetheless, the transfer will cease Ellwood voting within the management contest right this moment and tomorrow, and this might assist Liz Truss get onto the ultimate poll in opposition to Rishi Sunak. Johnson blames Sunak for undermining him, and though he has not backed Truss in public, his allies are actively working to get her elected.

Tobias Ellwood.
Tobias Ellwood. {Photograph}: Wiktor Szymanowicz/REX/Shutterstock

Johnson tells cupboard that heatwave vindicates authorities’s web zero technique

Boris Johnson is chairing what stands out as the ultimate assembly of his cupboard and – as has change into his regular observe in current weeks – he invited in a TV digicam to report his opening remarks.

Johnson claimed the heatwave vindicated the federal government’s determination to push for web zero carbon emissions by 2050. He informed his ministers:

Who can doubt that we have been proper to be the primary main economic system to go for web zero? It might be generally retro to say this nevertheless it is the proper factor to do.

In actual fact, the laws making 2050 a legally binding goal was handed into legislation within the ultimate days of Theresa Might’s authorities, however Johnson has retained the dedication to web zero. As my colleague Fiona Harvey argues in right this moment’s First Version briefing, Johnson is extra dedicated to web zero than any of the candidates who may succeed him. “No person else within the greater echelons of the Conservative occasion offers a stuff,” Fiona says. “He was the one champion inexperienced Tories had.”

Addressing cupboard, Johnson additionally steered the expertise popping out of lockdown confirmed why the heatwave mustn’t be allowed to cease folks working. He stated:

On one other scorching, sweltering day I feel it’s very, very necessary that we predict again to that second that we opened up [after the lockdown] and take a look at and steadiness threat with the necessity to hold our nation, our society and our economic system shifting.

I hope, cupboard, that you simply are all agreed that so far as potential we should always hold colleges open and hold our transport system going so far as we probably can.

Boris Johnson addressing cabinet this morning.
Boris Johnson addressing the cupboard this morning. {Photograph}: Stefan Rousseau/PA

Truss says she would elevate defence spending to three% of GDP by 2030

Liz Truss, the international secretary, has used an interview with the Occasions to declare that she would elevate defence spending to three% of GDP by 2030. She stated:

We stay in an more and more harmful world the place the menace degree is greater than a decade in the past, and we want a stronger deterrent to face down these threats and guarantee Britain leads on the international stage. Finally that requires extra assets. My primary precedence is retaining this nation protected and folks can belief me to do this.

Britain and the free world face a defining second. We want a chief minister able to main internationally, who also can drive the financial progress we want right here at residence. I’m the candidate greatest positioned to do this.

In a briefing in regards to the announcement, the Truss marketing campaign stated defence spending wanted to go up as a result of of the elevated menace from China and Russia. This message could enchantment to a number of the 31 supporters of Tom Tugendhat whose votes are up for grabs right this moment. Tugendhat, chair of the Commons international affairs committee, has persistently argued that the UK has not taken the menace from China and Russia significantly sufficient.

Tory MP Tobias Ellwood has whip withdrawn after failing to again authorities in confidence vote

Tobias Ellwood, the chair of the Commons defence committee, has had the Tory whip eliminated as a result of he didn’t vote for the federal government in the boldness debate final evening, the Occasions’ Henry Zeffman experiences. Ellwood, who was certainly one of the Tories most essential of Boris Johnson, didn’t have permission to be away.

NEW: Conservative MP Tobias Ellwood has been stripped of the whip by Boris Johnson for failing to assist the federal government in final evening’s confidence vote

— Henry Zeffman (@hzeffman) July 19, 2022

n”,”url”:”https://twitter.com/hzeffman/standing/1549315915069767681″,”id”:”1549315915069767681″,”hasMedia”:false,”function”:”inline”,”isThirdPartyTracking”:false,”supply”:”Twitter”,”elementId”:”06ed5fd6-99b5-49cd-ae9c-29c3a6799cdc”}}”>

NEW: Conservative MP Tobias Ellwood has been stripped of the whip by Boris Johnson for failing to assist the federal government in final evening’s confidence vote

— Henry Zeffman (@hzeffman) July 19, 2022

Ellwood appears to have been overseas. A Conservative supply stated that he was informed final Wednesday he would must cancel the journey. They stated Ellwood was “reminded of the implications properly prematurely of the vote”

— Henry Zeffman (@hzeffman) July 19, 2022

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Ellwood appears to have been overseas. A Conservative supply stated that he was informed final Wednesday he would must cancel the journey. They stated Ellwood was “reminded of the implications properly prematurely of the vote”

— Henry Zeffman (@hzeffman) July 19, 2022

Ellwood was in Moldova. A Conservative Get together supply stated: “Different Conservative MPs cancelled international journeys, left poorly family and one MP’s mom died on the morning of the vote and nonetheless attended and voted.” https://t.co/uB98YuleaG

— Henry Zeffman (@hzeffman) July 19, 2022

n”,”url”:”https://twitter.com/hzeffman/standing/1549317013755011074″,”id”:”1549317013755011074″,”hasMedia”:false,”function”:”inline”,”isThirdPartyTracking”:false,”supply”:”Twitter”,”elementId”:”756b141e-42e1-402c-8d10-0f1c17b46197″}}”>

Ellwood was in Moldova. A Conservative Get together supply stated: “Different Conservative MPs cancelled international journeys, left poorly family and one MP’s mom died on the morning of the vote and nonetheless attended and voted.” https://t.co/uB98YuleaG

— Henry Zeffman (@hzeffman) July 19, 2022

As Steven Swinford experiences, the determination means Ellwood is not going to give you the option to vote in parliamentary management poll till the whip is restored. He’s a Penny Mordaunt supporter, and in a really tight race, a single vote may probably make a distinction.

The race for No 2 within the Tory management contest could be very, very tight

Tobias Ellwood – a Penny Mordaunt supporter – now not has a vote after being stripped of the whip for failing to assist govt in confidence vote

It's not unfeasible this all comes right down to one or two votes https://t.co/jWLGwH1nFC

— Steven Swinford (@Steven_Swinford) July 19, 2022

n”,”url”:”https://twitter.com/Steven_Swinford/standing/1549317607542718465″,”id”:”1549317607542718465″,”hasMedia”:false,”function”:”inline”,”isThirdPartyTracking”:false,”supply”:”Twitter”,”elementId”:”40a80577-ca5f-4f19-a218-edc2e59ced0e”}}”>

The race for No 2 within the Tory management contest could be very, very tight

Tobias Ellwood – a Penny Mordaunt supporter – now not has a vote after being stripped of the whip for failing to assist govt in confidence vote

It isn’t unfeasible this all comes right down to one or two votes https://t.co/jWLGwH1nFC

— Steven Swinford (@Steven_Swinford) July 19, 2022

Badenoch says she would delay 2050 web zero goal date in some circumstances

Kemi Badenoch also can declare to be the change candidate in one other, much less optimistic, sense. Yesterday she informed a Tory local weather fringe that she backed the federal government’s goal of reaching web zero emissions by 2050. She was the final candidate to make that dedication.

However later within the day she had an obvious change of coronary heart and informed Speak TV that her dedication to the 2050 date was not absolute. Requested if she would ever contemplate altering the 2050 deadline, she replied:

Sure, there are circumstances the place I might delay it, however I feel that the goal itself is a little bit of a pink herring.

The complete interview is right here.

Badenoch claims she is simply ‘change candidate’ left in Tory management contest

In a put up on Twitter after final evening’s outcomes have been declared Kemi Badenoch claimed that Tom Tugendhat’s departure from the race meant she was the one “change candidate” left within the race.

On to the following vote. Thanks to all my colleagues for his or her assist.

It’s all to play for. Continued momentum, closing the hole, I’m the one change candidate left within the race.

I’m in it to win.

— Kemi Badenoch (@KemiBadenoch) July 18, 2022

n”,”url”:”https://twitter.com/KemiBadenoch/standing/1549117159615381505″,”id”:”1549117159615381505″,”hasMedia”:false,”function”:”inline”,”isThirdPartyTracking”:false,”supply”:”Twitter”,”elementId”:”6bb0824d-8be2-47a3-8112-a65aa0d5df8e”}}”>

On to the following vote. Thanks to all my colleagues for his or her assist.

It’s all to play for. Continued momentum, closing the hole, I’m the one change candidate left within the race.

I’m in it to win.

— Kemi Badenoch (@KemiBadenoch) July 18, 2022

Penny Mordaunt would in all probability contest that. Badenoch, the previous equalities minister, is the one candidate nonetheless within the race who has not served in cupboard. However as equalities minister she pursued an “anti-woke” agenda well-liked with No 10.

Mordaunt, the worldwide commerce minister, by no means resigned from Boris Johnson’s authorities (not like Badenoch). However she has by no means recognized as an enthusiastic supporter of Johnsonism.

MPs to vote once more with Sunak near securing place on ultimate poll

Good morning. Per week after nominations closed, and after three ballots, a number of the fog round who will likely be our subsequent prime minister has lifted and at the very least three propositions now appear moderately properly based.

  • Rishi Sunak, the previous chancellor, is now all however sure to be certainly one of the 2 candidates on the ultimate poll for Conservative occasion members. He’s now on 115 votes and as soon as a candidate will get 120 (simply over a 3rd of the full), it’s mathematically unimaginable for 2 different candidates to get extra votes. Sunak can be notably properly positioned to select up most of the 31 Tom Tugendhat votes now up for seize; Sunak, like Tugendhat, presents as a mainstream pragmatist, not an ideological rightwinger.
  • Liz Truss and Penny Mordaunt are actually the 2 strongest candidates in the competition to be the second individual on the ultimate poll. One current survey steered each would beat Sunak within the ultimate ballot, however Truss extra comfortably than Mordaunt. Virtually actually, Sunak’s possibilities could be higher in opposition to Mordaunt; her lack of expertise means the chance of her marketing campaign imploding underneath scrutiny stays excessive (over the past week her reputation has already fallen considerably), and Truss, not like Mordaunt, could be assured the assist of the Tory proper en masse.
  • Kemi Badenoch appears doubtless to be eradicated this afternoon. It is just not inevitable – she has defied expectations already – however she stays 13 votes behind Truss, and should wrestle to get a lot of the Tugendhat vote. If she does fall out, her votes will likely be for grabs tomorrow – and would resolve whether or not Sunak faces Truss or Mordaunt, which may in flip decide who will get elected as the following PM.

Right here is the agenda for the day.

9.30am: Boris Johnson chairs what is perhaps the final assembly of his cupboard.

10.30am: Officers from the CBI and the TUC are among the many specialists giving proof to the Commons enterprise committee on post-pandemic financial progress.

12pm: Voting begins within the fourth poll for the Conservative occasion management. The poll closes at 2pm.

12.30pm: Michael Gove, the previous levelling up secretary, and Lord Frost, the previous Brexit minister, participate in a dialogue on the long run of Conservatism on the Coverage Change thinktank.

3pm: Sir Graham Brady, chair of the 1922 Committee, pronounces the outcomes of the most recent management poll.

Afternoon: Pay awards for round 2.5 million public sector staff, together with NHS employees and lecturers, are on account of be introduced.

I attempt to watch the feedback beneath the road (BTL) nevertheless it is unimaginable to learn all of them. If you’ve got a direct query, do embody “Andrew” in it someplace and I’m extra doubtless to search out it. I do attempt to reply questions, and in the event that they are of basic curiosity, I’ll put up the query and reply above the road (ATL), though I can’t promise to do that for everybody.

If you ought to entice my consideration rapidly, it’s in all probability higher to make use of Twitter. I’m on @AndrewSparrow.

Alternatively, you possibly can electronic mail me at andrew.sparrow@theguardian.com


CONTINUE READING……….


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